SCB FM ประเมินเฟดทยอยลดดอกเบี้ย Q2/67 ทำบอนด์ยีลด์สหรัฐฯชะลอ-คาด กนง.ตรึงดอกเบี้ยตลอดปี

SCB FM ประเมินวัฏจักรดอกเบี้ยขาลงในต่างประเทศที่น่าจะเริ่มในไตรมาส 2/67 คาดเฟดจะลดดอกเบี้ย 4-5 ครั้ง ทำให้ผลตอบแทนพันธบัตรสหรัฐฯ มีแนวโน้มลดลง หนุนเงินบาทแข็งค่าต่อเนื่อง ส่วน กนง.คาดคงดอกเบี้ยตลาดปี กลุ่มงานตลาดการเงิน ธนาคารไทยพาณิชย์ (SCB Financial Markets: SCB FM) เปิดเผยเผยว่า ธนาคารกลางหลักมีแนวโน้มลดอัตราดอกเบี้ยต่อเนื่องในปีหน้า โดย Fed น่าจะลดดอกเบี้ยนโยบาย 4-5 ครั้ง และการลดดอกเบี้ยครั้งแรกจะมีขึ้นอย่างเร็วในไตรมาสที่ 2 ขณะที่ ECB และ BOE มีแนวโน้มลดดอกเบี้ยได้ 4 ครั้ง ส่วน กนง. น่าจะคงดอกเบี้ยตลอดปีxxx xx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx x/xx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx x-x xxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxx.xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (xxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxx: xxx xx) xxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx x-x xxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx x xxxxxx xxx xxx xxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx x xxxxx 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SCB FM ประเมินเฟดทยอยลดดอกเบี้ย Q2/67 ทำบอนด์ยีลด์สหรัฐฯชะลอ-คาด กนง.ตรึงดอกเบี้ยตลอดปี

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